21/09/2019   Doha (QAT) - 20km World Championships (Women) - Glenda Morejon vs China






In La Coruna a few months ago, a tiny women from Ecuador, Glenda Morejon, produced one of the biggest  breaktrhough performances of the year.

 
In her first 20km race the Ecuadorian walker audaciously defeated in 1:25:29 - the fastest time ever for a U20 - a field of athletes from China that included Olympic and World medal winners like Liu Hong, Yang Jiayu and Qieyuang Shenjie in one of the best race ever in term of depth.
 
If the conditions of La Coruna were to repeat themselves Glenda Morejon could become the youngest woman ever to win a World Championship in 20km, but certainly in Doha she will not find the ideal conditions of La Coruna.
In our opinion, the titled trio of China will have taken advantage of that defeat and we will hear all other music play.
 
Liu Hong, sweet mother of Xixi (Sissi), walks now, after she has won everything that could be won, with greater serenity, after having returned to compete this year and to have succeeded, the first woman in the world, to break down the 4 hours o'clock wall on the 50km also taking hold of that world record after that of the 20km established in La Coruna in 2015.
Always fascinating this La Coruna that produces surprises and records at every edition!
Yang Jiayu and Qieyang Shenjie need no comment: China loves to win and they will fight to win.
 
But there are also some other names in the large parterre of pretenders to medals.
Erica De Sena (BRA) who will want to forget the controversy of the recent Pan-American Games of Lima, Sandra Lorena Arenas (COL) who instead won in Lima and the beautiful Kimberly Garcia (PER) who came to silver.
Europe does not offer much in terms of seasonal performance, but Laura Garcia-Caro (ESP), Maria Perez (ESP), and Antonella Palmisano (ITA) will put forward their experience while some new names appear on the European continent: those of Meryem Bekmez (TUR) and Zivile Vaiciukeviciute (LTU).
Finally Japan with Kumiko Okada and Nanako Fujii.
 
 

Our hypotheses of success for obtaining a medal

 

 

Athlete  Gold - %  Silver - %  Bronze - %
       
Glenda Morejon (ECU) 30 % 30 % 40 %
Liu Hong (CHN) 30 % 30 % 40 %
Yang Jiayu (CHN) 30 % 30 % 40 %
Qieyang Shenjie (CHN) 30 % 30 % 40 %
Erica De Sena (BRA) 10 % 10 % 20 %
Sandra Lorena Arenas (COL) 10 % 10 % 20 %
Laura Garcia-Caro (ESP) 10 % 10 % 20 %
Maria Perez (ESP) 10 % 10 %  20 %
Antonella Palmisano (ITA) 10 % 10 % 20 %
Meryem Bekmez (TUR) - - 10 %
Zivile Vaiciukeviciute (LTU) - - 10 %
Kumiko Okada (JPN) - - 10 %
Nanako Fujii (JPN) - - 10 %
 
 

and also for the same (and for others) the chances of success to finish the race in first eight athletes and in first 16 athletes (finalists and semifinalists).
 
 
 

Athlete First eight - % From 8 to 16 - %
     
Glenda Morejon (ECU) 100 % 100 %
Liu Hong (CHN) 100 % 100 %
Yang Jiayu (CHN) 100 % 100 %
Qieyang Shenjie (CHN) 100 % 100 %
Erica De Sena (BRA) 100 % 100 %
Sandra Lorena Arenas (COL) 100 % 100 %
Laura Garcia-Caro (ESP) 90 % 100 %
Maria Perez (ESP) 90 % 100 %
Antonella Palmisano (ITA) 90 % 100 %
Meryem Bekmez (TUR) 60 % 80 %
Zivile Vaiciukeviciute (LTU) 60 % 80 %
Kumiko Okada (JPN) 60 % 80 %
Nanako Fujii (JPN) 60 % 80 %
Katie Hayword (AUS) 25 % 50 %
Inna Kashyna (UKR) 30 % 50 %
Leyde Guerra (PER) 15 % 50 %
Raquel Gonzalez (ESP) 15 % 50 %
Mirna Ortiz (GUA) 15 % 50 %
Ana Cabecinha (POR) 15 % 50 %
Jemina Montag (AUS) - 20 %
Valentina Trapletti (ITA) - 20 %
Anezka Drahotova (CZE) - 20 %
Saskia Feige (GER) - 20 %
 
 
 
 

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