22/09/2019   Doha (QAT) - 20km World Championships (Men) - the most wide open-event






The 2019 season presented the walkers with four races of the highest level on the 20km: Kobe, Huangshan, Nomi and La Coruna.

Almost all the candidates for winning the Doha 2019 World Championships have successfully competed in one of these four international races.
The 20km of Doha presents itself as one of the most wide-open events on the programme at the IAAF World Athletics Championship Doha 2019, more than a dozen men could make serious claims to challenge for the 20km race walk title.
Furthermore, the last winner, Eider Arevalowon’t be able to defend his world title after a serious injury during a recent training session in Almeria (ESP): a fall from his bicycle caused him to fractura jus lefts collar bone.
 
 
The medal candidates come from almost all geographical areas.
 
Asia
 
China: one of the powerhouse race walking nations with Wang Kaihua and Cai Zelin.
Both this season have achieved high performances in Huangshan at the selection of March: the first was clocked in 1:19:01, the second in 1:19:36
 
Japan: the country that dominates the world rankings is presented with Toshikazu Yamanishi, one of the stars of the season as well as the seasonal leader in 1:17:15 obtained in Nomi, Koki Ikeda, winner of the World University Games in Naples (1:17:25 ), and Eiki Takahashi (1:18:00), winner in Kobe.
Yamanishi, the young Japanese mathematician, also won in La Coruna (1:17:41) by defeating a world-class field and proving that Nomi's victory was not a fluke.
 
 
Europe
 
La Coruna this year showed some good things in the European 20km.
 
Italy: Massimo Stano has made a big step forward by setting a national record of 1:17:45 for second place in La Coruna in June and will be among the contenders on the podium in Doha.
 
Spain: Alvaro Martin (1:18:47)Miguel Angel Lopez (1:21:00) and Diego Garcia Carrera (1:18:58) certainly need no introduction.
 
Sweden: Perseus Karlstrom (1:18:07) in La Coruna obtained the new national record of his Country in the only race of the season that did not win. He has also recently achieved a new national record of 10,000m track waLK with a time of 38:03.95
 
Germany: Christopher Linke (1:18:42) also got the new national record of Germany in La Coruna, even if he arrived only sixth.
 
ANA: Vasiliy Mizinov (1:18:32 in Sochi in late February) but only fifth in La Coruna in 1:18:41. The young athlete coached by Elena Saiko, this year has always won where he participated with the exception of La Coruna and Alytus, where he settled for silver.
 
 
Sud-America (CONSUDATLE)
 
BrasilCaio Bonfim (1:18:47) with the seventh place in La Coruna.
 
 
Oceania
 
AustraliaDane Bird-Smith (1:20:52) with the victory in Adelaide on February 10, 2019
 
 
 
Our hypotheses of success for obtaining a medal
 
 
Never before in this 2019 season the performances of the pretenders to a medal are so close to each other and the choice seems very difficult.
To complicate the choice will also be the unusual departure time (23:30 local time); the likely heat and humidity of Doha that will greatly affect athletes' choices.
In short, the picking of potential medal winners is a real head-scratching business.
 

 

Athlete  Gold - %  Silver - %  Bronze - %
       
Wang Kaihua (CHN) 25 % 30 % 40 %
Cai Zelin (CHN) 25 % 30 % 40 %
Toshikazu Yamanishi (JPN) 25 % 30 % 40 %
Koki Ikeda (JPN) 25 % 30 % 40 %
Eiki Takahashi (JPN) 15 % 20 % 20 %
Massimo Stano (ITA) 20 % 25 % 30 %
Alvaro Martin (ESP) 20 % 25 % 30 %
Miguel Angel Lopez (ESP) 20 % 25 %  30 %
Diego Garcia Carrera (ESP) 20 % 25 % 30 %
Perseus Karlstrom (SWE) 20 % 25 % 30 %
Christopher Linke (GER) 15 % 20 % 20 %
Vasiliy Mizinov (ANA) 20 % 25 % 30 %
Caio Bonfim (BRA) 10 % 20 % 20 %
Dane Bird-Smith (AUS) 5 % 5 % 10 %
 
 
 
It makes no sense to indicate, given the large number of pretenders to the medals, the chances of arriving in the first eight because we would find the same names. The probability of arriving in the first sixteen is almost similar.