04/11/2019   Evolution of the average speed of the first 10 athletes in 20km men: "Area vs World"






 


The last chart that we propose our readers is that of 20km men.

 
We summarize data selection standard.
- We have first of all chosen the best ten performances in the world as they appear from the official lists of the IAAF
- We have limited our choice to the last five years, starting from 2015 up to and including 2019
- The average speed of these ten best performances in the world is the reference mark for every single year
- We then analyzed the ten best performances for each Area, obtaining the relative average speed for each Area. The difference in terms of km/hr between that obtained by analyzing the data of the first ten athletes in the world and those of the top ten athletes in each area is what we have called "negative spread".
 
 
Some considerations
 
- The graph curves of the average speed measured at world level and those of the graphs of the same speed detected at the Asia level are very similar over the years.
The trend of the curve is almost overlapping The only differences are given by small differences in values in terms of speed and negative spread.
This means that the curve of the average of the top ten world speeds in the men's 20km is increasingly dependent on the geographic area of Asia.
 
Let's see it in terms of negative spread values
 
 

20km men - average speed 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
           
World average speed 15,26 15,17 15,25 15,28 15,41
           
Asia average speed 15,24 15,12 15,18 15,20 15,34
           
Negative Spread: Asia-World -0,02 -0,05 -0,07 -0,08 -0,07

 

 

 

Even Europe has a trend of the speed curve very similar to that recorded at the World level although with a few cents of average speed lower than that of Asia.
However, with some very small differences the two curves follow an almost parallel course.
 

 


20km men - average speed 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
           
World average speed 15,26 15,17 15,25 15,28 15,41
           
Europe average speed 15,02 14,98 15,02 15,04 15,12
           
Asia average speed 15,24 15,12 15,18 15,20 15,34
           
Negative Spread: Europe-World -0,24 -0,19 -0,23 -0,24 -0,29
           
Negative Spread: Europe-Asia -0,22 -0,14 -0,20 -0,16 -0,22

 

 
 
The most impressive figure, however, can be seen in the following table that indicates the number of athletes contributing to form the basic average world speed on the 20km men (that is how many athletes of single Area in the top ten in the world).
 
 

20km men Asia Europe Africa NACAC CONSUDATLE
           
2014 5 5 - - -
           
2015 8 2 - - -
           
2016 4 2 1 3 -
           
2017 5 3 - - 2
           
2018 5 2 2 - 1
           
2019 6 4 - - -
           
Total in five years 33 18 3 3 3

 

 
 
It is even more impressive to note that at the level of Asia the ten athletes who go to form the average speed of 2018 (15.20 km / hr) eight are from Japan, but this is not a new fact: last year there were nine the athletes of Japan in the first 10 of Asia.
But what we like to emphasize is the recurrence of names of athletes that we found in the "top ten" of the 50km:
- Masatora Kawano is seasonal leader on the 50km (3:36:45) and second in the 20km ranking (1:17:24)
- Yusuke Suzuki is the 50km World Champion in Doha and fourth in the 20km ranking (1:17:47)
- Hirooki Arai bronze in Rio de Janeiro on the 50km is seventh in the ranking of 20km (1:19:00).
This is the clear demonstration that in the Land of the Rising Sun it competes on all distances with excellent results, which is not always true in Europe.
 
 

2019

 

 

  MARK COMPETITOR DOB NAT VENUE DATE
1:17:15 Toshikazu YAMANISHI 15 FEB 1996 JPNJPN Nomi (JPN) 17 MAR 2019
1:17:24 Masatora KAWANO 23 OCT 1998 JPNJPN Nomi (JPN) 17 MAR 2019
1:17:25 Koki IKEDA 03 MAY 1998 JPNJPN Nomi (JPN) 17 MAR 2019
1:17:47 Yusuke SUZUKI 02 JAN 1988 JPNJPN Nomi (JPN) 17 MAR 2019
1:17:52 Isamu FUJISAWA 12 OCT 1987 JPNJPN Nomi (JPN) 17 MAR 2019
1:18:00 Eiki TAKAHASHI 19 NOV 1992 JPNJPN Kobe (JPN) 17 FEB 2019
1:19:00 Tomohiro NODA 24 JAN 1996 JPNJPN Kobe (JPN) 17 FEB 2019
1:19:00 Hirooki ARAI 18 MAY 1988 JPNJPN Kobe (JPN) 17 FEB 2019
1:19:01 Kaihua WANG 16 FEB 1994 CHNCHN Huangshan (CHN) 10 MAR 2019
10  1:19:36 Zelin CAI 11 APR 1991 CHNCHN Huangshan (CHN) 10 MAR 2019

 

 

2018

 

 

  MARK COMPETITOR DOB NAT VENUE DATE
1:17:26 Eiki TAKAHASHI 19 NOV 1992 JPNJPN Kobe (JPN) 18 FEB 2018
1:17:41 Toshikazu YAMANISHI 15 FEB 1996 JPNJPN Kobe (JPN) 18 FEB 2018
1:17:46 Daisuke MATSUNAGA 24 MAR 1995 JPNJPN Kobe (JPN) 18 FEB 2018
1:19:13 Koki IKEDA 03 MAY 1998 JPNJPN Kobe (JPN) 18 FEB 2018
1:19:15 Isamu FUJISAWA 12 OCT 1987 JPNJPN Kobe (JPN) 18 FEB 2018
1:19:17 Fumitaka OIKAWA 05 APR 1995 JPNJPN Kobe (JPN) 18 FEB 2018
1:19:19 Hirooki ARAI 18 MAY 1988 JPNJPN Kobe (JPN) 18 FEB 2018
1:19:45 Kaihua WANG 16 FEB 1994 CHNCHN Huangshan (CHN) 03 MAR 2018
1:19:49 Tomohiro NODA 24 JAN 1996 JPNJPN La Coruña (ESP) 02 JUN 2018
10  1:19:52 Masatora KAWANO 23 OCT 1998 JPNJPN Kobe (JPN) 18 FEB 2018

 

 

 

 

The last interesting consideration is to observe the golden year of the NACAC, 2016.

 

In that season, three athletes from Canada (Inaki Gomez, Benjamin Thorne and Evan Dunfee) and seven athletes from Mexico (Omar Pineda, Jesus Tadeo Vega, Ever Palma Olivares, Pedro Daniel Gomez, Julio Cesar Gomez, Julio Cesar Salazar, Jorge Alejandro Martinez Baez e Isaac Palma Olivares) with the clear goal of preparing the Olympic Games, obtained an average speed (measured on 10 athletes) equal to 15.14km/hr better than those of Asia (15.12km/hr) and Europe (14.98km/hr).
The negative spread was -0.03 compared to that of the 10 best athletes in the world.
Only Asia succeeded in doing better in 2015.
 

We leave our readers in the following link the consulation of the chart and the complete table of average speeds in the five-year period and the considerations they would like to make.
 
 
 

The chart from 2015 to 2019: click here

 

 

 

 



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